loris bertolacci

Sport, Health and Fitness

BRISBANE LIONS AGE versus KANGAROOS

This word doc below has a profile of the RD 18 Lions team.

brisbane-age-rd-18-2007.doc

The Lions beat the Kangas and have won 5 in a row. That is a real form line. As I said in another article, last year they had a “boob” distribution with young players of 19 to 22 and older players of 27 and above and not many in between. And remember that I have found a trend towards a “Bell Curve” for champion teams skewed slightly to the left. IE More young coming in but balanced around 25.

So when I did the Lions age and experience for RD 18 2007 , they were young. 23.8. But a redeeming feature was that there is some form of bulk in the 21 to 23 age group and the older players are up and running. Also there is a semblance of a proper curve where one can see that the bulk will be in the middle with the only problem being how long can Lappin and Black keep producing. ( if they have to?).

Obviously they have Bradshaw coming back so that next year their curve would look OK and their age and experience would be OK.

If they get in the finals and do well with this distribution curve then that is a real pat on the back for their development programs especially when they lacked draft power.

They have hit their peak now so the cynical ones may suggest that a few “youngies” will drop off soon OR a few oldies might lose form and expose the “youngies ?

All subjective assessments based on some data but worth an analysis.

August 4, 2007 - Posted by | AFL, Development

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